Trump has been flailing – and failing – to provide a plausible rationale or objective for attacking Iran. He changes his unconvincing explanations on a daily basis. Meanwhile, media pundits are scratching their heads trying to figure out what Trump is trying to achieve. Everyone is guessing how long it will last, but how can you even guess when you don’t even know what victory looks like?
The Trump-controlled media outlets like CBS and now CNN are spending hours and hours discussing this complex situation. Apparently, Trump is not allowing them even to utter one simple 3-letter word. That would be Occam’s Razor.
Let’s back up to Venezuela. Trump offered all sorts of reasons for attacking. For a while it was fentanyl, until everyone figured out that no fentanyl was being shipped from Venezuela. Then it was Maduro’s drug trafficking and oppressive régime. But when it was all over, the régime – sans Maduro – was still in place, while Trump was given control over Venezuela’s oil, with profits flowing to a Trump-controlled (NOT American) offshore account in Qatar. Trump’s ‘deal’ was to allow the trafficking, criminal, oppressive régime to remain in place as long as he controlled the oil.
Now, back to Iran, where the media are not allowed even to suggest that O-I-L has anything to do with this war. I suggest that oil has everything to do with it. In short, Trump wants to control Iran’s oil in the same way that he controls Venezuela’s. As in the case of Venezuela, his ‘deal’ is “I will totally destroy you if you don’t give me your oil. I will leave the current corrupt, oppressive régime in place as long as I control the oil and its profits.”
All of Trump’s ‘deals’ are like this, including the tariff ‘deals’: “I will destroy you if you don’t give me what I want.”
A word about the 185 murdered schoolgirls. The Trump-controlled media outlets gloss over this massacre as though it was just an accident. Trump fires pinpoint precision missiles and hits other targets exactly. The school bombing was not a mistake; it was precisely planned. Now why would Trump plan to murder 185 schoolgirls? If my assessment above is correct, the murder of schoolgirls sends the message: “I will stop at nothing until you give me your oil.”
(aside: has Trump destroyed any of Iran’s oil installations? I think I can guess why not.)
Here’s a corollary to my thesis. In order for Trump to profit from Iran and Venezuela’s oil, their governments must be absolutely stable. They must brook no dissent that might interrupt the flow of oil. Therefore, Trump will covertly assist those governments in suppressing dissent, even if it means massacring thousands of protesters (the very act he condemned in Iran last month).