The pundits are all trying to say something intelligent about the US elections. They are trying to explain why the predicted ‘blue wave’ was such a huge blue tsunami.
In state after state, the polls predicted very narrow races, but in the end, the races were not narrow at all. Polls predicted Talarico over Paxton by 1.2%, but he won by 12%. What happened?

The only explanation is that, somehow, people who declared themselves for Paxton/Trump in the polls secretly voted against him. Why?
Picture a small rural community in Ohio. Everyone expects you to think a certain way. If you said you were against Trump, you might have your tires slashed or your house vandalized. You dare not tell a pollster that you would vote Democratic.
But, down deep, you realize what a complete disaster Trump has been. Maybe the rest of your community excuses his child rapes, but, really now, you can’t support child rape, so you secretly vote against the Trump candidate.
Think of a pollster in a strongly Christian community, where one nominal Christian is having doubts about his faith. He would not dare tell the pollster of his doubts. That is like a MAGA cultist, who must give lip service to Trump, but on a secret ballot, he may vote against him.
Trumpism is, of course, a religion, so the comparison I just made is quite appropriate.
Now, our voter realizes that there were lots of people like him in the community, who publicly praised Trump, but down deep knew what a horrible person he was and voted against him.
Maybe now, or in the future, people will be less afraid to say what they really feel about Trump, in the knowledge that a lot of people think the way they do.
The same applies to GOP members of Congress, who have kowtowed to every whim of the President. They now know that their constituents hate Trump as much as they do, so that they are a bit freer to oppose Trump’s madness.
These GOP members also realize that one of Trump’s strongest holds over them has been the threat of ‘primarying’ them. This threat diminishes as Trump becomes more of a lame duck. No more primaries for another year and a half. A Trump-backed primary opponent may not be the same danger that it has been in the past.
To be sure, 40% of the population still approve of Trump. They are still a threat. It has become conventional wisdom that these MAGA cultists have always secretly harbored thoughts of racism, cruelty, and authoritarianism, but that Trump was able to bring those feelings out in the open. ICE still has that huge budget to commit horrible crimes with impunity. Now that the genies of racism and sexism are out of the bottle, it may be difficult to put them back in.










