TRUMP IS GOD

Many people view Trump as God in the same way that most religious people view their gods. However, my explanation of the common perception of God is not the normal one, so let me start with that.

For most people, shit happens. That is the default. Things normally go wrong. But once in a while, something good happens. That is when people shout “Allah Akbar”, and “God is good, always.” That one good thing in a sea of horrors is proof that a good God exists.

My favorite example of this was that airplane that crashed and killed some 200 people, but they found that one baby survived. The world media was full of “Praise God!” and “God is good”.  But wait… God just murdered 200 people. People didn’t even see that; the 200 victims can be ignored. The one surviving baby was enough to reassure people of their religious beliefs. I don’t think I heard anyone claim that the 200 deaths were just part of God’s mysterious plan. No one cursed an evil God for His 200 murders. No, the deaths were just ignored as background noise.

Another example is the patient in hospital with terminal cancer, and with all his relatives praying for his recovery. Normally, he dies, and no one blames God. That’s just the way the cookie crumbles. But if he miraculously survives, it’s “Praise be to the all-benevolent God, who answers prayer!”

Now let’s compare this attitude with MAGA cultists’ attitude towards Trump. Trump can rape young girls, steal billions of dollars, and kill thousands of children, but that’s all default background noise as long as he can satisfy his cultists with a couple of things they like.

There are thousands of law-abiding immigrants in the US, but if Trump can catch just one brown-skinned illegal committing a crime, and if he can torture, detain, and deport them to some ‘shithole’ country, MAGA will be exuberant and will praise him to the skies.

He can bomb a school and kill 168 Iranian girls, and his followers just ignore it, but he can make a simple (meaningless) executive order ‘banning sharia law’, and his cultists jump for joy.

Similarly, there are thousands of transgender people in the US, leading normal lives, but if Trump can prevent just one of the small handful of transgender athletes from participating in girls’ sports, he is praised to the skies by MAGA.

The media keep crowing “Trump hits New Low in the Polls!” That’s actually false. Realclearpolling.com compiles all the latest polls and calculates their average. That average has hovered around 40% approval for months. There may be an outlier or two, either to the positive or negative side, but the results are consistent. 40% of the American population supports Trump, no matter what he does or what horrors he commits. Those 40% represent the religious cultists who think he is God and cannot err.

If we ask, “How horribly can he act before his base abandons him?”, we must conclude that there is no red line that he cannot cross. His followers simply ignore the horrors. Just as there are no horrors that God can commit that will cause His followers to abandon Him. Cult followers will accept anything, no matter how awful.

A.I. and DIGITAL BANKING

Everyone is talking about the future of AI these days. Most of the discussions I read or hear center around the loss of millions of jobs, as AI can do tasks that most human employees now perform. However, there are dozens of other ramifications, each more frightening than the last.

Today I saw an interview between Tucker Carlson and economist Richard Werner, that chilled me to the bone. Werner mentioned that the current digitalized financial system will become centralized to government control.

Your debit card or QR code already controls you to a certain extent, when you receive messages like, “purchase denied – you have exceeded your daily $1000 limit,” or “your account has insufficient funds for this purchase.”

When (not if) governments use AI to control your cards and QRs, awful things will happen:

“Your card has been blocked because you criticized our glorious leader Donald Trump. You can re-instate your card with a ‘contribution’ of $500 to the President.”

Or telling you what products you can or cannot buy:

“You are not permitted to purchase that product, because it was made in China.”

Or they can limit your travel or even your residence:

“Your card is no longer valid outside a radius of 10 km outside Columbus, Ohio. We suggest you move there.”

Since their AI has every single piece of data about you, you can be blackmailed or extorted. The government can control whom you associate with, or even whom you marry, simply by controlling your debit cards or QR codes.

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Once you let your mind start conjuring up scenarios, the picture is downright mind-boggling – making 1984 and Brave New World and other dystopias look like free societies.

THE LACK OF FINANCIAL NEWS

The world is teetering on the brink of a financial crisis. Mainstream media are not covering this all-important story, probably because the situation is complicated and would not be understood by most viewers. When the US debt reaches 40 trillion, this is a number that almost no one comprehends. It is 40,000,000,000,000. Hard to get your head around that one.

 I follow the financial news, and I am confused by what appear to be contradictions in policy, especially regarding the recent moves in the bond market. Let me first describe sources of my confusion, in terms of questions that the media are not addressing.

  1. A) Last week the United States bailed out the Japanese yen. Japan was on the verge of selling US Treasuries to buy yen and prop of the yen. The US wanted to prevent the sale of US treasuries, because that would hurt the bond market, so they sold euros to Japan instead.

B) Then this week the US declared that it would sell long treasuries, in order to lower long-term interest rates. This would encourage Japan to buy US treasuries. This move would appear to contradict the policy of the previous week. What is going on? I’m confused.

2. Japan is the largest holder of US treasuries, owning some 1.19 trillion dollars in US debt. That makes it the largest creditor nation. However, when I looked up Japan’s debt-to-GDP ratio, I found that Japan’s ratio is about 250%, making it one of the largest debtor nations in the world. How can one country be the largest creditor and the largest debtor at the same time? The media have not addressed this issue.

I turned on CNN today to see whether they had any explanation for these phenomena. Yesterday, their lead story was Michael Cohen’s conversation with Trump, and today it was all about Natalie Swan. Not a word about economics.

I turned to Yahoo News on my computer. Of late, Yahoo News has become more of a touchy-feely magazine rather than a news outlet. Most stories are either about Hollywood celebrities and their love-lives, or else stories about cute pet dogs or cats doing cuddly things.

The real reason for this post is therefore to discuss not the world economy, but rather the abdication of the media from reporting the real news. There is a war going on in Iran, but you’d never know it from watching CNN or Fox. People want happy news, not reports of the US losing a war to Iran, and certainly not a confusing story about the collapse of the US dollar and the world economy.

Internet posts about the bond crisis always must start by explaining to viewers what a bond is. Viewers may not understand that when the price of a bond goes down, its interest rate goes up.

Trump is the leading epitome of Dunning-Kruger among the economic know-nothings. He understands nothing about the bond market or interest rates. His go-to solution for everything is to lower rates. His over-simple logic is that this will allow people to borrow money more cheaply, so they can spend more and help the economy. This simple logic appeals to his MAGA cultists. What he doesn’t understand is that increasing all this borrowing injects more money into the system. That’s the classic cause of inflation. That’s why the Fed, in its battle against inflation, is reluctant to lower interest rates. Trump can’t figure that out.

Where can I find the important news about what is happening?

CATERING TRUCK FOLLOW-UP

Trump is telling the press that the CIA decided to sneak him off AF1, and he just did what they told him to do. This is apparently another total Trump lie.

The CIA didn’t take the Israeli report of a threat very seriously. Rubio was aware and decided that AF1 was not in great danger, so he got on the plane.

But Trump, afraid for his life, decided that he must not fly on that (to his mind) dangerous plane. He could have just ordered that AF1 be grounded for security’s sake. But no, he opted to put all those people at risk of death just to save his own neck. He meant for AF1 to be a decoy target for Iran missiles. He figured they might all be killed.

Interesting choice of people he chose to sneak off with him: his personal attendants, who would take care of HIM, regardless of strategic choice. He would gladly sacrifice all those others as a decoy, just to save himself.

This mindset is Trump’s ego-centeredness in a nutshell. Throw anyone under the bus just to protect himself. No loyalty to Rubio or Bessent. In fact, Karoline Leavitt was also on the decoy plane, and Facebook accounts are suggesting that she resigned partially because Trump was ready to let her be killed by the Iranians.

Trump’s attitude towards the United States is the same. He’s out to enrich himself, at the expense, and perhaps the demise, of America, or even the world economy. He thought he could get his hands on Iranian oil, at the risk of thousands of lives and the destruction of the world economy. He doesn’t give a damn about oil prices or the American people. He wants the oil, the same way he took and hid Venezuela’s oil (the 13 billion dollars cannot be located at present).

And did you hear his own explanation of why he put all those people at risk? He claimed that his smaller, secret plane was in greater danger than AF1, simply because he was in it. Typical Trump BS, with no meaning or substance. You mean he snuck off AF1 and hid in a catering truck in order to put himself at greater risk? Huh?

TRUMP’S CATERING-TRUCK STORY DOESN’T ADD UP

Like most of the official stories coming out of the Iran war (i.e. ‘excursion’), the stories of the catering-truck episode raise a whole lot of questions.

First, Trump was transferred from Qatar1 to the old AF1. The initial explanation, and the first lie about this was that Trump wanted to show Qatar1 to people in the UK. However, after the New York Times blew the cover off that lie, the Trump camp admitted that there was a security threat and the old AF1 had more anti-missile security.

Trump didn’t want this security threat known, and he threatened to subpoena the NYT journalists who reported the story.

But then Trump was secretly transferred from AF1 to the catering-truck. My question is, why didn’t they transfer him directly from Qatar1 into the catering-truck? Using AF1 as an intermediary doesn’t make much sense.

AF1 and the catering-truck

While Trump snuck out of AF1, the remaining big-wigs, reportedly including Rubio, Bessent, and Miller, were left on AF1, which the Trump team obviously deemed in imminent danger of being shot down by Iran. So Trump was prepared to sacrifice the lives of his team of VIPs to an Iranian missile. In fact, he sent them up there as decoys or as bait, i.e., target practice to attract Iranian missiles.

By the way, if Trump wasn’t on the AF1 with all those people, didn’t some of them notice that he wasn’t there, or maybe suspect something was fishy when they were asked to pull down their window shades?

Both AF1 and Trump’s secret plane arrived in the UK. At that point, the danger was over, and they could have just admitted the stunt they had just pulled off. However, they secretly transferred Trump back onto AF1 To make it look as though he had been there all along. There was no need to do that.

The ruse was never admitted, until the Washington Post revealed the catering-truck stunt. Why was it all kept so secret, especially in light of Trump’s penchant for bragging about escaping assassination plots?

I think that the reason for the secrecy was that Washington didn’t want to reveal that someone had leaked the report of an Iranian attack. In fact, it now appears that Washington got the message from Israel. What Israeli spy learned from the Iranians that they would attack? That is sensitive contact information that must be protected. Now that the public know about the Iranian plot, there may be an Israeli spy who will be executed by the Iranian government.

Is it possible that Netanyahu simply invented the threat in order to goad Trump into attacking Iran? After all, there was no attack on any of the planes. Maybe the whole security threat was all a fake from the beginning, and Netanyahu just fooled the Trump team.

There’s a lot we don’t know. Was the Iranian threat real or just invented? Why all the secrecy, lies, and cover-up? Why was AF1 involved at all? We certainly can’t expect Team Trump to come clean about this anytime soon.

WHY IS FAUCI HATED?

All through the COVID pandemic, I regarded Dr. Fauci as the voice of reason who was saving millions of lives. Nowadays, he is hated and receives death threats. What happened?

The case against Fauci usually boils down to an accusation that Fauci denied or covered up a theory that the COVID-19 virus was invented in a lab in Wuhan, China, and released to kill millions of people. That accusation holds no water.

First, Fauci always kept all theories open, even though he favored the theory that the virus mutated from some unknown animal that was sold in the Wuhan market. This is the prevalent theory today. He never actually denied the lab theory.

Evidence points to Wuhan market as source of covid-19 outbreak– NewScientist.com

Fauci’s critics often use the term ‘gain of function’ to describe how the virus was hopped up in the Wuhan lab (with US funding) to ‘gain’ the function of harming humans.

An informative article in ScienceInsights.com explains:

One point of broad agreement: almost all U.S. intelligence agencies concluded that the virus was not genetically engineered, and all agreed it was not developed as a biological weapon. What Was the Cause of COVID-19? Origins and Theories – ScienceInsights

…the research did not involve the regulatory and operative definition of “gain of function” — the practice of enhancing a virus in a lab to study its potential impact in the real world. Rep. Raul Ruiz, D-Calif., the top Democrat on the committee, said some Republicans were using a broader definition of the term, one that would also include the manufacture of flu vaccines.

The argument that the virus was created in the lab reminds me of Christian Creationists, whose argument is that the world couldn’t have created itself, but had to be created by a god. Similarly, the market theory of COVID is that the virus basically created itself, which is impossible, so it must have been created with a purpose. (I suspect that the Christian Creationists are precisely the fiercest enemies of Fauci.)

The Republicans on the committee appear to have willfully misunderstood the facts in the case. Rather, they simply wanted to stage a theater event to vilify Fauci for no particular reason that they could articulate. I believe that the Wuhan lab theory was not the main thing on their minds.

From the beginning of the COVID pandemic, time and time again, Trump (who of course is never wrong) played down its importance. He said it would go away, that it was no big deal, and was no more dangerous than the common flu. All this, while thousands of people were dying.

Fauci dared to contradict Trump by saying, “Hey, people, wake up! COVID is really dangerous and you’ve got to do something about it.” He galvanized public opinion around the need for masks, spacing, and most importantly, vaccination. This was already happening around the world; the US was only late to the game.

COVID deaths continued to rise. This made the infallible Trump look like a fool, as Fauci was right and Trump was wrong. This humiliation was increased when Trump made outlandish claims for treatments, such as shining a light up your butt, swallowing bleach, or taking a magic hydroxychloroquine pill. Fauci pointed out the absurdity of these claims, thereby infuriating Trump and his MAGA supporters.

Trump supporters had to stand by their hero, so they started claiming that the rising death toll was due to Fauci’s methods, especially vaccination. The vaccines, they claimed, were actually CAUSING the deaths. In this view, Fauci was the cause of the pandemic. Trump was right all along – COVID was not a big deal until Fauci came along.

Therefore, the theater recently produced in Congress was essentially a pro-Trump rally – a two-minute hate against Trump’s perceived enemy. The play-actors were hoping to trap Fauci into saying something that could be used against him, as perjury. He refused to play their game, and they were furious, calling for him to be held in contempt of Congress. They may follow through on their threat in order to please their master.

ARE AMERICAN PRODUCTS SAFE?

The nation is outraged to learn that, after a meeting with Trump officials and a donation of a million dollars, the FDA reversed its positive test result for cyclospora and apologized to Taylor Farms. Given the Trump administration’s track record, most people are apt to jump to the conclusion that Taylor Farms bribed Trump a million dollars to have its positive test result expunged.

However, this outrage broke out only AFTER the cyclospora scare was traced to Taylor Farms. There appears to be a pattern of corruption here. The Trump administration either abolishes the agencies responsible for regulating the products, or else a specific company bribes Trump to allow them to produce dangerous goods. Then, once an outbreak of a disease occurs, only then is there outrage.

Another example of this is the screwworm infestation that has infected herds of American cattle. Trump cut back the agency that monitors the screwworm fly, so that the parasite was able to spread undetected. Only later was its damage noticed and the public was outraged.

Screwworm: left unmonitored, it entered the US and started killing cattle.

And how about medicines? Would you feel comfortable taking a medicine that has not been tested or checked? Or one from a company whose CEO has contributed a million dollars to Trump? I think not.

There are dozens of similar examples, but the media always report them in isolation, although there is a pattern to these examples of corruption.

My question, then, is: how many hundreds or thousands of other products has Trump allowed to go un-inspected, and how many other toxins or damaging parasites or bacteria has Trump allowed to spread throughout the United States? It is only after an outbreak of some deadly disease that the damage can be traced either to Trump’s cuts to regulation, or to outright bribes to falsify data. By then, it may be too late, as thousands of people (or cattle or other living creatures) have been infected.

The American public is so narrowly focused on Taylor Farms, that they have lost track of the thousands of other dangerous products that Trump has allowed to circulate.

I live outside the States. I will not be buying any American products any time soon. I cannot be sure they are safe.

TRUMP’S THREE IRAN OPTIONS

The U.S. death toll from the Iran war has held at 13 for the past several weeks. During this period, we have witnessed dramatic videos of Iranian strikes on dozens of American bases, with scenes of utter destruction in flames and smoke. Surely there have been plenty of casualties, but Trump is not reporting them.

Destruction of US bases. No casualties?

Until today. Two, and possibly three more US soldiers have been reported killed in an Iranian attack. Why now? My interpretation is that this announcement has been a trial balloon, to see how the public and the media would react. This would test the waters to see the possible reaction to an American invasion, in which there would be hundreds or even thousands of casualties.

The reaction to the two deaths has been ferocious. Trump will think twice before risking hundreds of casualties. I think that a full escalation must be now considered off the table for now.

A second option would be just to get out and declare victory. This would be a surrender.

Iran gave Trump an offer to save face, by presenting the 14-point MOU. Yes, it would be mostly a surrender, but Trump could claim he forced Iran to the negotiating table and got an agreement. However, public reaction to the MOU was furious. Not only did it not achieve what Obama (Trump’s bête noire) had achieved, but it made Trump and his vulnerable ego look weak. He couldn’t stand that. The MOU could not be adhered to. Trump’s ego will be a total obstacle to any pullback. Thus, any pullback can be considered off Trump’s table.

Let’s not forget Israel. Netanyahu will not allow Trump to stop the war, perhaps because he has incriminating Epstein documents, but more likely, because he wants Trump to keep destroying Iran while Israel sits back and watches.

That opening clause in the MOU was ridiculous. How could Iran and the US sign an agreement that commits Israel and Lebanon to adhere to it while never signing it? Israel just invaded Lebanon, making it impossible for the MOU to hold. That had to be by Iran’s design; it was no accident or stupidity. Iran virtually guaranteed that the MOU could not be enforced.

The third option is more or less to maintain the status quo. The tit-for-tat that has been going on for weeks now could continue indefinitely – months or even years. Trump would maintain his cycle of threatening total destruction of Iran one day, followed a few days later by announcements that Iran is begging to make a deal. This has been going on for weeks now, and you’d think oil markets and stock markets would be wise to this trick by now, but no, they continue to play Trump’s game. Trump and his cronies can continue to make huge profits from the prolongation of the status quo.

One problem with the status quo, however, is that global oil reserves are running out. There will soon be shortages of everything and huge inflation. Can Trump survive the outrage at sky-high prices of gasoline, fertilizer, and hundreds of other consumer goods?

Trump’s approval ratings have held steady around 40% for the past few weeks, according to the average of polls followed by RealClearPolling. This is largely because releasing oil reserves has kept prices down. This situation is about to end, as reserves run out.

In short, a large invasion of Iran would be condemned by everyone, while a capitulation will make Trump’s ego look weak. The only remaining option is to continue the status quo.

CAMBODIANS — AND OTHER NICE PEOPLES

Almost every visitor to Cambodia is struck by how nice the Cambodians are. I know that my critics will say, “People everywhere are the same; there are good and bad people in every country.” However, anyone who has travelled abroad will aver that people in different cultures and countries are very, very different.

So why are Cambodians so nice: friendly, smiling, helpful, considerate…? My first question is, have they always been that way, or is this personality a recent phenomenon? One obvious answer is their thorough grounding in Theravada Buddhist culture. Two words that you hear quite often in Cambodia are mettá and karuná, as defined by Wikipedia:

  1. Metta (Loving-Kindness): This is perhaps the most visible aspect of Buddhist influence. Metta is the wish for the happiness and well-being of all beings, without discrimination. It fosters a spirit of benevolence, patience, and non-aggression towards others, which translates into the gentle and accommodating nature many visitors observe.
  2. Karuna (Compassion): This principle encourages empathy and a desire to alleviate suffering. Many Cambodians possess a heightened sense of compassion for others, leading to acts of kindness and understanding.

On the other hand, perhaps the horrors and suffering of the Khmer Rouge era may have had an influence. “Many observers note that having experienced such deep suffering, Cambodians often possess a unique perspective on life. They value peace, community, and the simple joys of human connection perhaps even more profoundly. This collective experience of rebuilding and moving forward with hope has cultivated a generous and forgiving spirit, often expressed through kindness towards others.”(Wikipedia).

By the way, if you read accounts of Pol Pot, such as Brother Number One, you will find that he was very charismatic, in the sense that people were immediately drawn to his warmth and friendliness. He was, like most Khmer, a very personable figure.

In my wide travels, I have visited a few countries with equally nice people, mostly in Africa, which is not a Buddhist continent.

Guinea. When I entered Guinea, in West Africa, I immediately noticed the politeness and warmth of the people there.

A former French colony, Guinea was liberated by the famous Sékou Touré, revered by many anti-colonialists around the world.

The charismatic Sékou Touré turned out to be a tyrant, who murdered or tortured thousands of his opponents in the infamous Camp Boiro prison, where as many as 50,000 persons may have died. When I visited Guinea after Touré had died, the people still lived in fear of the oppressive one-party state with spies everywhere. Worldhistoryedu.com describes it as:

  1. Authoritarian Rule: Touré’s government gradually became repressive, with widespread surveillance, a one-party state system, and harsh treatment of political opponents.
  2. Economic Decline: Despite early successes in nationalization, Guinea’s economy suffered from mismanagement, leading to shortages, stagnation, and dependence on foreign aid.

Uganda. Similar to Guinea was Uganda, home of Idi Amin. He was charming, jovial, and extremely charismatic. I was in West Africa at that time, and my Nigerian students were celebrating an iconic photo of Idi Amin being carried in a royal sedan chair by four WHITE servants.

Idi Amin’s charisma was a significant factor in his rise to power and his ability to maintain his régime. This allowed him to build a cult of personality and maintain control over his people and the international community.

Like Sékou Touré, Amin became a ruthless tyrant, wantonly murdering his opponents. International observers and human rights groups estimate that between 100,000 and 500,000 people were killed under his regime.

Perhaps you have seen the movie “the Last King of Scotland”, about a Scottish doctor named Garrigan, who becomes a trusted confidant of Amin’s, but gradually comes to see the horrors perpetrated by the dictator. 

When I moved to Uganda years later, I found nice, polite people. I did a lot of walking in remote villages, where people would pleasantly tell me of how their villagers had been massacred under Idi Amin. Again, did the Idi Amin experience cause the local people to be kinder and more considerate, or had they always been that way?

Mozambique. Finally, I come to Mozambique, where I spent two years with the United Nations. The country was just recuperating from years of authoritarianism, mismanagement, and bloody warfare under Samora Machel. Like Touré in Guinea, Machel was hailed as the liberator of Mozambique from the Portuguese. He wanted to instill his Marxist-Leninist views on the country and he brooked no dissent.

Worldhistoryedu.com describes his Frelimo régime as follows:

That approach meant political intolerance and the repression of “dissidents”, as well as the marginalization of certain ethnic groups,

The treatment of leaders who opposed Frelimo’s vision was harsh. On their return from abroad, many were imprisoned in concentration camps. They were put on arbitrary trial and executed. It turned into arbitrary detentions and displacement of entire families, increasing the systematic violation of human rights by the state.  

Mozambicans are perhaps the nicest people in all Africa. Now here’s the kicker: when the Portuguese explorer Vasco da Gama visited the country in 1498, he called it “a terra de boa gente”, that is, “the land of nice people”. This is a partial answer to the question, “Were Mozambicans always nice?”  Apparently, they were, as their niceness was observed centuries before the terrors of Frelimo.

To return to Cambodia. My thesis is that the Khmer people have always been nice people, perhaps because of Theravada Buddhism, but perhaps not, as certain African peoples have been nicer than others with no reference to Buddhism.

All of the countries I have described have undergone the horrors of genocidal dictators – Pol Pot, Sékou Touré, Idi Amin, and Samora Machel. Is it possible that these cultures had bred such nice people that they were easily exploited by tyrants? Did the Khmer people and others fall prey to charismatic leaders because they were too nice or too trusting and tolerant?

I spent a year in Samlot District, the last bastion of the Khmer Rouge in Cambodia. Many of the people there were either former KR cadres, or had suffered from the KR. They all expressed the feeling that they would do anything to avoid a repeat of the horrors of Pol Pot. This entailed putting up with corruption and bad behavior by government officials, as long as the people were left alone.

It would seem that in none of the four countries mentioned was there ever a bloodthirsty cry for revenge. None of the four peoples appear to be particularly vindictive.

I also note that none of the four mass murderers mentioned was ever held accountable. Pol Pot may have committed suicide or had a heart attack, but he was never arrested. Touré died of a heart attack in New York, still in power in the failed state of Guinea after 30 years; Idi Amin died in exile in a mansion in the Ivory Coast, and Machel died in a plane crash while still in power in 1986.

HUNGER IN THE SAHEL

I first moved to the Sahel in Bornu, northern Nigeria, in 1977. The population of Nigeria was 67 million. In the Sahel, life was hard, as there were not enough resources to support the population. Most villages had no electricity or clean water in the 43-degree heat and drought. Women walked several kilometers in the heat to the nearest well, to lug buckets back to the village for the family. In years of good rain and crops, people moved onto marginal lands for a couple of years, but in the dry years, they had nothing to eat. I saw desertification spreading south. At the time, economists were wringing their hands over the increasing population, with dire predictions of future starvation.

Now here we are in 2026, almost half a century later. The population of Nigeria is now 242 million, over triple the 1977 figure. Where are all those people living these days? Bornu must be a living hell, like all the countries across the African Sahel. It seems like Malthus’ gloomy predictions are coming true.

In Bornu and across the Sahel, there are herder tribes like the Fulani who need free range for their cattle. They are clashing with sedentary farmers who fence off their land to grow food. Tribal hatreds and wars are the result.

Economists back in 1977 predicted wars over land and other scarce resources. Indeed, that has come to pass in Bornu, with the Boko Haram abducting schoolgirls and creating havoc. Wars are occurring all across the African Sahel – Mali, Burkino Fasso, Sudan.

These wars are creating a humanitarian crisis of gigantic proportions, as millions of displaced people are at risk of starvation, and as roving tribal armies massacre them.

Every day, I see ads on Facebook and elsewhere asking donors for food aid to the starving children in Sudan or Somalia. I have been seeing versions of the same ads for the past 50 years. The situation never changes, or rather, it gets worse as the population triples. Governments in those countries are of little help; indeed, they are usually part of the problem.

Over the past 50 years, I have developed compassion fatigue. I know that no matter how much food aid is sent to the Sahel, more and more will be required for the next 50 years, as populations spin out of control, deserts expand, and tribal wars over scarce resources increase.